XRP slipped under $1 twice this week and set a 52-week low at $0.9915. Here is an XRP price prediction after losing $1 that traders can use now: expect a base range near $0.95–$1.10, downside to $0.80–$0.95 if support breaks, and upside toward $1.50–$2.00 if the Senate advances crypto rules in September. XRP sits about 46% below its January 1 price of $1.88. Buyers keep defending $1, but momentum is weak. The last time XRP lost $1 was in 2021. It took almost three years to win it back. Today’s setup is different: regulation could flip the trend fast, but the clock is ticking.

XRP price prediction after losing $1: scenarios for the next 90 days

Base case: Hold the line, chop, then drift higher

If $1 holds on daily closes, price likely trades between $0.95 and $1.10. A clean reclaim and hold above $1.10 opens a run into $1.25–$1.30. From there, bulls need a strong catalyst to clear heavy sell orders stacked near $1.44–$1.46.

Upside case: Senate progress and a squeeze through resistance

The Senate’s September 15 cloture vote on the CLARITY Act is the key date. Cloture needs 60 votes to end debate and move the bill to the floor. If it passes, XRP could test $1.50 and, on a full Senate vote, stretch toward $1.80–$2.00. Galaxy Research still sees only a 10% chance the bill becomes law this year, but even procedural wins may be enough to drive a relief rally.

Downside case: Another support loss and range reset

If buyers fail at $1 again, price likely trades in a lower range of $0.80–$0.95. Without a strong bounce back above $0.95 by Q4, a slide toward $0.70 is possible. A deep bear stretch like 2021–2024 looks less likely now, but weak risk appetite could keep XRP stuck below $1 until a clear policy or liquidity catalyst appears.

What history says about sub-$1 periods

From August to November 2021, XRP moved between $0.90 and $1.30, then fell under $1 on November 26, 2021. The SEC’s 2020 lawsuit weighed on price, exchanges delisted, and institutions stayed away. The Terra/Luna crash in 2022 drove XRP near $0.29, and the FTX collapse held it below $0.50. From early 2023 through late 2024, multiple attempts to retake $1 failed. On November 16, 2024, XRP jumped back above $1 and ran to a $3.65 all-time high eight months later. Sentiment then turned, and the token slid back to test $1 this August, with intraday drops below the level on August 11 and 14 before quick rebounds. This backdrop frames an XRP price prediction after losing $1 today: the market can base for months, but clear catalysts can flip the script in days.

The policy lever: Why the CLARITY Act matters

Regulation has moved XRP more than any other factor. After the Senate Banking Committee advanced the CLARITY Act by a 15–9 bipartisan vote on May 14, XRP rallied above $1.50 before cooling to ~$1.40. Profit-taking hit hard near $1.44–$1.46, a zone where about 1.16 billion XRP sits near breakeven and roughly $3 billion in sell orders has been reported. The bill stalled during the August recess, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed a cloture motion on August 8, setting a procedural vote for September 15. If cloture passes, markets likely price in higher odds of a full Senate vote, which could re-test $1.50 and pressure that $1.44–$1.46 supply wall. Key takeaways:

Below $1 into mid-September = range-bound and headline-driven.

Cloture win = momentum spike; watch $1.44–$1.46 and $1.50.

Full vote scheduled = potential push toward $1.80–$2.00.

Other catalysts: Payments rails and ETFs

Ripple’s payments expansion

Ripple added partners in 2026, including Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, and Mastercard. It also secured EU MiCA CASP and EMI licenses, enabling service across all EEA countries under one regulatory umbrella. These use Ripple’s rails and do not require XRP by default, so they did not move price. But if U.S. rules greenlight XRP usage, institutions would have both the legal cover and the plumbing to add the asset, which strengthens any policy-driven breakout.

XRP ETFs and flows to watch

XRP ETFs have attracted $1.51 billion in cumulative inflows since launching in November 2025. This shows durable interest, even in a weak market. But August has been soft: just $3.27 million so far, with weekly inflows down 93% in the week ending August 8. If monthly inflows return to May’s $131.94 million, ETFs could remove meaningful supply from exchanges and help anchor price above $1.

How to trade it now: levels, triggers, risk

Key levels

Support: $1.00 (psychological), $0.95 (reclaim pivot), $0.80–$0.85 (lower range floor)

Resistance: $1.10 (momentum check), $1.25–$1.30 (mid-range cap), $1.44–$1.46 (heavy supply), $1.50 (breakout pivot), $1.80–$2.00 (event-driven extension)

For swing traders

Buy-the-dip approach: Look for wicks below $1 with quick closes back above on 4-hour or daily candles. Target $1.10–$1.25. Place stops below $0.95.

Range trade: If price holds between $0.95 and $1.10, fade edges with small size. Keep 1:1 to 2:1 reward-to-risk and exit before major headlines.

For breakout traders

Above $1.10 on strong volume: Aim for $1.25–$1.30 first, then trail toward $1.44–$1.46. Expect supply hits and partial exits there.

Clean daily close over $1.50: Treat as trend shift. Scale in on pullbacks; watch $1.65 then $1.80–$2.00 if policy momentum builds.

For event-driven traders

Pre-vote positioning: Consider smaller size entries with time stops ahead of September 15. Plan for gap risk and fast reversals.

Sell-the-news risk: If cloture fails, expect a quick test of $0.95–$1.00 or even $0.90. Keep hedges or hard stops.

Risk management rules

Risk 1%–2% per trade. Volatility around votes can double spreads and slippage.

Do not average down below $0.95 without a clear plan. Next support may be $0.80–$0.85.

Size down around the $1.44–$1.46 wall. Expect sharp rejections on first tests.

Use alerts, not guesses. Set alerts at $0.95, $1.10, $1.46, and $1.50.

Order flow and timing: what to monitor

Order book near $1.44–$1.46: If asks thin and price reclaims the zone, it signals sellers are getting filled or stepping away.

ETF flows: Sustained net inflows often precede stronger closes; watch for a return toward $100M+ monthly.

News cadence: Confirm the Senate schedule, whip counts, and any bipartisan signals. Even rumors can move price intraday.

Liquidity hours: Volatility often spikes around New York open and U.S. policy headlines. Plan entries when spreads are tighter.

XRP’s path from here is clear but conditional. Above $1 with rising ETF inflows and policy progress, the market can re-price quickly toward $1.50–$2.00. A failed policy push or weak liquidity likely traps price between $0.80 and $1.10 while traders chop the range. The deeper context also matters. In 2021–2022, regulatory fear plus systemic shocks (Terra/Luna and FTX) crushed price and sentiment. Today, Ripple’s global payments reach is larger, Europe has clearer rules, and U.S. policy could soon move forward. That does not guarantee an instant breakout, but it raises the odds that dips below $1 get defended more often and recover faster, especially if catalysts stack. No one can control headlines, but traders can control risk. Keep size modest into the September vote, respect the $1.44–$1.46 supply zone, and let price confirm before chasing. For many, patience inside $0.95–$1.10 may be smarter than gambling on binary events. If momentum appears, the market should give a second entry. In short, an XRP price prediction after losing $1 points to a tight base near support, a policy-driven shot at $1.50–$2.00, and a defined risk floor at $0.80–$0.95 if the level fails. Trade the levels, not the noise.

(Source: https://247wallst.com/investing/cryptocurrency/2026/08/16/xrps-1-support-hangs-by-a-thread-where-does-xrp-go/)

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